Mercury News sports columnist Jon Wilner thinks the chance of the Regents stepping in and ordering a voiding of the UCLA/Big Ten deal is very low - but not zero. He doesn't get into the legal difficulties that would follow such a decision. Below is an excerpt:
What do you think the chances are that the UC Regents prevent UCLA from moving to the Big Ten?
There has been no change in our outlook since the mid-August meeting in which the Regents established the authority to squash the move. That would be a momentous step, not only for this specific situation but for other matters (athletic, academic or otherwise) involving the 10 campuses in the UC system. I’d set the chances of a reversal at 10-to-15 percent, which isn’t high but also isn’t nothing. And that makes the situation worth monitoring.
Any chance of the Pac-12 convincing USC and UCLA to reverse course and remain in the conference, especially with the new College Football Playoff format?
This is a different question than the one addressed above: Would either school willingly opt to remain in the Pac-12? There is no chance USC has a change of heart — none, zero, zip. The Bruins would only change willingly if the Regents ordered them to subsidize Cal to such an extent ($10 million or more annually) that the move wasn’t worthwhile financially. And in that event, it really wouldn’t be a willing reversal.
Full story at https://www.mercurynews.com/2022/09/16/mailbag-pac-12-vs-big-12-espn-vs-amazon-ucla-vs-uc-regents-and-loads-more/.
It's worth noting that Governor Newsom, who kicked off this brouhaha, has moved on to other issues in recent weeks: abortion, immigration, treatment of the mentally ill, climate change, etc.* There hasn't been a peep from the governor since he appeared at the Regents behind closed doors in July. So, the political pressure to take drastic action seems to have faded.
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*https://archive.org/details/newsom-9-1-22-heat-wave.
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https://ia601402.us.archive.org/25/items/big-ten/not%20zero.mp3
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