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Tuesday, February 17, 2026

The Budget: First, let's preserve. Then let's question.

UPDATE: Daily Bruin now reports CFO Agostini has been fired: 


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As blog readers will know, UCLA CFO Agostini recently said past financial accounts of UCLA are inaccurate and are byproducts of prior financial mismanagement.* He further said that he didn't want to be putting out inaccurate information on his watch. That comment made yours truly nervous about the past accounts disappearing. So he has taken steps to preserve them, along with more recent budgetary documentation.** So, fear not! Nothing will be disappearing.

Now, what can we say about the new budget book that was recently released?

The first thing to note is that you do find some macro information for the year 2023-24. For example, in terms of revenue, almost 6 out of 10 dollars coming into the campus are derived from the hospitals and other medical practices. That fact may be a surprise for those on north campus. Over 6 out of 10 dollars of expenditure go for labor costs (wages and benefits). That fact shouldn't be a surprise, given that higher ed is essentially a service industry.

Of course, it would be nice to have the data for 2024-25, the year that finished last June 30. It would be nice to have estimates for the current year, even though it is not complete. And it would be nice to have projections for the coming year; July 1, 2026, is not that far away and presumably somebody is making such projections. ????? However, the macro view of revenue and expenditure should not be greatly different from year to year.

What is missing from the macro view is a balance sheet which would show reserves. Typical corporate financial accounts include both an income statement (revenues, expenditures) and a balance sheet - assets (including cash reserves) and liabilities. Both the income statement and the balance sheet are needed for a complete review. You need to see both flows during the fiscal year and stocks (snapshot at the end of the year).

When the budget book moves beyond the macro view and gets down to the "unit" level, it includes 2023-24, 2024-25, and an estimate for the current 2025-26 fiscal year. (No projections are to be found for the coming year in a workload sense, i.e., what would happen if current policy continued into next year.)

The units shown are in some cases administrative units and in other cases educational units and research unit. For example, there is the "Administrative Vice Chancellor" unit and a "Campus and Community Safety" unit. And there is a "Broad Stem Cell Research" unit and an "L&S Humanities" unit. Apart from administration, education, and research, there is an "Intercollegiate Athletics" unit. 

Accompanying the various units is a diagram showing revenues vs. expenditures. And there is where things get complicated. There are some units which are supposed to be self supporting, i.e., collecting funding for providing services and spending money to provide them. So, it is clear what a surplus or deficit means in those cases. If they are spending more than they are taking in, they are running a deficit, presumably something to be avoided as a chronic condition. If they are spending less than they are taking in, they are running a surplus.

But note that much of the campus is not run that way. The "Administrative Vice Chancellor" is not selling a service, but it is shown to have revenue. The revenue, however, is an allocation, not a fee for service. Much of the campus is like that, at least in part. "L&S Humanities" is not mainly in the business of selling services. But it is shown as running a deficit. That deficit, however, could be eliminated by giving it a bigger allocation. Or it could be made greater by shrinking its allocation. Put another way, for many of the units, particularly those whose function is educational, attributing deficits or surpluses to them is a matter of discretion.

In the Daily Bruin article noted above, CFO "Agostini... said he is currently looking at how long UCLA can continue to function and meet payroll without developing a cash reserves problem, as the school is currently spending money it does not have." The quote refers to reserves. The only way to spend money you don't have (in an income sense) is to run down existing reserves (and maybe even borrow). There are references to $450 million deficits and other deficit figures. It isn't clear where these came from. And without a balance sheet, we lack information on reserves. Some units are said to have their own reserves. It's not clear what those reserves are or where they came from. There is no overall balance sheet in the budget book.

So, what's the bottom line here? We are making progress in obtaining budget information, perhaps in part as a result of the fuss the Academic Senate has been making. But there is still missing information. Moreover, the Senate and its appropriate committees need to go line by line, getting definitions. What formula is determining the "revenue" of the Humanities? Where and what are the reserves we apparently have been drawing down? 

If there has been financial mismanagement, as the CFO says, is anyone being held accountable? Again from the Daily Bruin article:

We spent $150 million on the Ascend [IT] project, and we have nothing to show for it,” Agostini said. “That was a terrific waste of resources. So I stopped it and said, ‘We’re not spending any more money.’

Apart from stopping the project, did any heads roll? That's the kind of question that needs answering.

We await.

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*https://uclafacultyassociation.blogspot.com/2026/02/really.html.

**Accounts from 2002-03 to 2022-03 (the complete pre-Agostini series) are now preserved at:

https://archive.org/details/ucla-budget-book-v-final-feb-2026. You'll also find preserved there documents from the Legislative Assembly, the Daily Bruin article with the CFO's observations, and the recently-released budget book. The email from the chancellor firing the CFO is also included.

Investigation

From the Daily Cal: The U.S. Department of Education’s Office for Civil Rights opened an inquiry [last week] into a complaint against UC Berkeley over allegations that five campus programs constitute racial discrimination and thereby violate federal law. The Equal Protection Project, part of conservative advocacy group Legal Insurrection Foundation, filed the complaint Feb. 10. The programs being targeted are the African American Student Development Office, Fannie Lou Hamer Black Resource Center, Latinx Student Resource Center, African American Initiative Scholarship and Lloyd A. Edwards Scholarship.

The EPP alleges these programs are only open to certain students based on race, either explicitly or through “strong racial signaling,” and thereby violate Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Equal Protection Clause of the 14th Amendment...

Full story at https://www.dailycal.org/news/race-and-diversity/department-of-education-opens-inquiry-after-complaint-against-uc-berkeley-black-latine-student-programs/article_cea6d880-a406-47aa-a0f4-d6e304941dca.html.

Straws in the Wind - Part 256

From the Lansing State Journal: Michigan State University Trustee Rema Vassar is at odds with key university leaders after she called for the college to reverse changes to diversity, equity and inclusion made since President Donald Trump took office. Vassar authored an opinion column on Feb. 2 that was published by Bridge Michigan, and called for MSU to reinstate numerous DEI-focused initiatives and support programs across campus. "MSU must act immediately to reverse every decision made under the false pretense of legal compliance," Vassar, a Detroit Democrat, wrote in the column. "MSU now stands exposed: Every decision to dismantle equity infrastructure was a choice, not a legal requirement. And that choice was made not just without legal justification, but in defiance of constitutional protections." 

Some university officials took issue with the editorial, including Michigan State President Kevin Guskiewicz and board chair Brianna Scott, D-Muskegon. Guskiewicz said the column was inaccurate and misleading, and Scott said it had several mischaracterizations. Both said said they had not seen the column prior to its publication. "Like many on our leadership team, we were disappointed by the op-ed, believe that it was misleading and mischaracterized many of the efforts that we've made as an institution to support our communities, during a challenging time with changes coming out of the federal government," Guskiewicz said. He said after the board's Feb. 6 meeting that the university is working to correct "several inaccuracies" in the op-ed and that officials will be taking the time throughout the week to "meet with members of those communities to reinforce our commitment to them." ...

Full story at https://www.lansingstatejournal.com/story/news/local/campus/2026/02/10/michigan-state-university-dei-black-students-rema-vassar-guskiewicz/88591853007/.

The Drumbeat Continues...

Can the Epstein drumbeat sound like a witch hunt? It sure does to yours truly when anyone - no matter how peripheral - gets tainted whose name appears in an email. Example:

From the Daily Pennsylvanian: Penn Psychology professor and Director of the Undergraduate Honors Program Coren Apicella approached Jeffrey Epstein’s foundation for research funding in 2012, four years after his first conviction, according to a newly released email exchange. The email — which looked to garner funding for Apicella’s Human Behavioral Origins laboratory — was originally sent to Epstein’s foundation and forwarded to his personal email alongside a note describing the offer as “interesting.” Apicella personally thanked Epstein for “indirectly” supporting some of her previous research endeavors in the Nov. 15, 2012 message.

I never knew Jeffrey Epstein,” Apicella wrote in a statement to The Daily Pennsylvanian. “I sent a single email to the Epstein Foundation in 2012 to ask whether it was accepting grant proposals. I received no follow-up correspondence or funding and I was certainly not aware of any of his horrific crimes when I sent the email.”

The email exchange is one of thousands of files released by the Department of Justice earlier this month. Apicella has not been accused of any wrongdoing in connection with Epstein or his crimes...

Full story at https://www.thedp.com/article/2026/02/penn-professor-coren-apicella-solicited-donations-epstein.

Will Harvard Continue to Lead the Charge? - Part 123


From the Harvard Crimson: The Trump administration’s Friday lawsuit seeking Harvard’s admissions records may run up against the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act, a federal law that restricts the disclosure of student records that could identify individual applicants, according to legal experts. Scholars said the Department of Justice’s demand for applicant-level admissions data — including grades, standardized test scores, race, and internal evaluations — risks violating FERPA because those data points, when combined, could make individual students identifiable, even if names are removed.

...Vinay Harpalani, a professor of law at the University of New Mexico, said he would “be surprised” if the administration were to succeed, citing the confidentiality issues inherent in providing applicant-level data. “That risks particular privacy concerns there,” Harpalani said. “If the individual data from a single applicant can all be linked — all the data, the grade, the test score, their race, ethnicity, other features about them — then that applicant might be able to be identified as an individual. And that could be problematic, that could run in violation of the FERPA,” he added...

The complaint asks a federal court to compel Harvard to turn over “documents relating to applicant-level admissions decisions” that the Department of Justice said it requested as part of the review. Jonathan D. Glater, a professor of law at University of California, Berkeley, said the DOJ’s demand may run afoul of FERPA because the department is not an entity authorized to access student admissions records. “Student personally identifiable information is protected by FERPA,” Glater wrote in a statement. “DOJ is not a listed entity and this is not part of a criminal investigation, so I’m not sure how this works.” ...

Full story at https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2026/2/16/DOJ-lawsuit-expert-analysis/.

Monday, February 16, 2026

Get It While You can

The state controller's cash report is out for the first seven months of fiscal 2025-26 and - guess what? - revenues are running ahead of the forecast made at the time the current state budget was passed to the tune of $15 billion. Indeed, revenues are running ahead of the updated forecast made last month when the governor made his budget proposal for next year to the tune of $6.9 billion.

Now, we all know that much of this overage seems to be fueled by AI spending, which filters into tax revenues by way of the stock market and capital gains. And we all know that it could be a bubble and that - if it is - revenues will slump when it bursts, i.e., we could have a repeat of the dot-com boom/dot-com bust. If that happens, revenues will drop and a crisis will occur. 

We know, in addition, that the Legislative Analyst's Office keeps warning of a "structural" budget problem in the years to come. And blog readers will know that even with the governor's optimistic forecast for the economy, we are currently running a deficit (total reserves of the general fund are being drawn down).* We know from the dot-com boom/bust episode that if the state is not socking away a lot of cash at the peak of the cycle, a downturn will be especially painful.

With all of that knowledge, however, it is unlikely that the legislature is going to accept austerity now when it sees extra revenue coming in. And the governor, who is running for president and is termed out, seems unlikely to want to play Dr. No. If he can just make it to next January without a fiscal mess developing, he can say it didn't happen on his watch, and leave whatever problems that follow to his successor. 

So, the best advice yours truly can give to UC lobbyists is "Get It While You Can" - because every other interest group will be seeing what I see.


Or direct to https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mtj9w2gYzV4.

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*https://uclafacultyassociation.blogspot.com/2026/01/the-no-hassles-while-im-in-office-state.html.

Straws in the Wind - Part 255


From the Daily Pennsylvanian: Last October, the notorious cybercrime group ShinyHunters infiltrated Penn’s internal data system and demanded a $1 million ransom from the University to prevent the release of the files on the dark web. After the ransom went unpaid, the hackers surfaced online to take credit for the attack and set the record straight. Since 2019, ShinyHunters has gained notoriety in the hacking community for orchestrating large-scale attacks on major corporations such as Google, AT&T Wireless, Ticketmaster, and SoundCloud. This fall, the group set its sights on Penn. “We decided to hit Penn same-day,” a spokesperson for the group said via Signal, an encrypted messaging app. “Some planning and preparation goes into attacking a new organisation, but we can move pretty quickly.” 

Requests for comment were left with a University spokesperson... ShinyHunters released the cache of confidential University files — including dated records and donor contact information — on its website on Feb. 4...

Full story at https://www.thedp.com/article/2026/02/penn-hack-donor-data-ransom-one-million-shinyhunters-gse-emai.