Wednesday, June 10, 2015
About what was predicted, plus or minus
What the current cash data, which now contain 11 of the 12 months of fiscal 2014-15, show is that the projection used by the governor for fiscal 2014-15 in his May Revise is about right for the year so far. That's not surprising since the projection was made with 10 of the 12 months already known. And there could be a June surprise. But the cash flow data don't do much for either side at this point. They do show the effects of the recovering economy. Last year at this time, revenues were $86.8 billion. This time the number is $97.5 billion. That's about a 12% nominal increase which is big.
The controller's cash report is at http://www.sco.ca.gov/Files-ARD/CASH/fy1415_June.pdf