Prop 30 is also paired partly
against Prop 38 - the Molly
Munger school tax initiative. So you
have to keep track of your Mungers who are both aligned against 30 but not
32. (Molly is the liberal who wants more money for schools than the
governor’s initiative would provide. Her
Prop 38 is doing poorly in opinion polls but she keeps dumping money into its
campaign coffers. If both 30 and 38 were
to pass, the one with more votes would become effective although there are some
legal questions and there would likely be litigation. But right now, it appears that 38 is unlikely
to pass so the main result of the campaign for it may be to take votes from
30). Charles is the conservative who doesn’t like unions in politics, or
– more likely - just unions in general.
Got it?
For the latest on Charles’ contributions:
The LA Times today has an article about Democrats
opposing 38 because they fear it will harm the chances for 30:
An earlier post on this blog featured several TV ads
recently released by the Brown/pro-Prop 30 campaign. We noted that there had been some radio ads
against Prop 30 prior to that release and included one that was released the
same day just before Brown launched his ads.
See http://uclafacultyassociation.blogspot.com/2012/10/waiting-for-browns-first-prop-30-tv-ad.html
The anti-30 campaign now has a TV ad running:
As noted, however, the pro-30 campaign is linked to the
anti-32 campaign. And the anti-30 campaign
is linked to the pro-32 campaign.
Here is an anti-32 TV ad:
And here is a pro-32 TV ad:
Here is a pro-38 ad (English and Spanish versions):
There does not appear to be an anti-38 TV campaign although
there have been “issue” ads on radio and TV that are anti-tax in general. See http://uclafacultyassociation.blogspot.com/2012/08/issue-ads-may-quack-like-ducks.html
and http://uclafacultyassociation.blogspot.com/2012/07/the-tax-battle-begins.html
If you are somewhat confused about the inter-connections of
the various propositions, here is another thing to be confused about. One of the propositions on the November
ballot is not an initiative but rather a referendum. An
initiative is a piece of legislation for voter consideration placed on the
ballot by petition. A referendum is a
proposition designed either to endorse or repeal legislation already passed by
the legislature. It is also put on
the ballot by petition. However, if you
want to endorse the legislation the referendum campaign is trying to get rid
of, you vote “yes” (meaning that, yes, you in fact like the already-enacted legislation
and don’t want to get rid of it) rather than “no” (meaning that you don’t like
the already-enacted legislation and do want to get rid of it. Prop 40 was put on the ballot via a GOP
petition to repeal the redistricting of the state senate done by the voter-approved panel set up for that purpose. (So, unlike a typical referendum, it was aimed at repealing something done by a special purpose "legislature.") But the GOP has abandoned
the campaign for various reasons. So now
even those who at first wanted you to vote “no” on 40 now tell you to vote “yes.”
There is an LA Times article about
this oddity today at http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-prop40-20121006,0,1641543.story
Bottom line: There
are folks out there who want you to do something so you have to be careful:
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