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Thursday, November 1, 2012

Another poll shows the slide of Prop 30

The California Field Poll shows the slide below 50%. Prop 30 - the governor's tax initiative that has been endorsed by the Regents - had been marginally above 50% until recently.  It could still pass since the undecided voters have to vote yes or no and if most vote yes, it will have a majority.  Nonetheless, the position of Prop 30 is precarious.

As readers of this blog will know, the revenue estimated to be produced by Prop 30 is built into the current fiscal year state budget.  Trigger cuts are also built into the budget if it fails, including a $250 million cut for UC.

Below is a chart from the Field Poll on both Prop 30 and the rival Prop 38 (which has never polled well):
[Click on the table to enlarge.]  Details from the poll at:

Meanwhile, as Prop 30 teeters, various folks have started criticizing Gov. Brown's campaign for it:
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-cap-prop30-20121101,0,4474638.column
and below you can hear Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom in effect saying on the radio that Brown's campaign has not been honest:

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