We noted after the Regents kicked the decision on whether to reverse UCLA's move to the Big Ten to December 14, rumors started appearing in news sources about what might happen. Some of these rumors can be seen as indirect bargaining leaks designed to influence the Regents' eventual decision. One was that maybe the Pac-12 would somehow offer to pay off the Big Ten to compensate for its not getting UCLA.* Presumably, the payment would be a "carrot" to go away.
Now we have another rumor, but this one is more of a "stick." Under this scenario, if UCLA isn't allowed to move, the Big Ten will grab other Pac-12 teams, thus undermining the Pac-12 so that the net effect could be less revenue for UCLA and Berkeley.
From Larry Brown's Sports Blog:
The University of California regents are meeting in December to determine whether the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) should be allowed to move to the Big Ten. UCLA and rival USC plan to move to the Big Ten in 2024. The move will result in a financial windfall for both schools, which is especially needed by UCLA, whose athletic department is reportedly around $100 million in debt. The UC system is concerned about the amount of money that will be spent on travel, as well as the academic impact to student-athletes, when moving to play in a conference where schools are located across the country rather than closer along the West Coast. They are also concerned about their other flagship school — UC Berkeley — being left behind in the weaker Pac-12. If the regents were to prevent UCLA from making the move, CBS Sports’ Dennis Dodd believes that the Big Ten would respond by taking Oregon and Washington from the Pac-12. That would leave UCLA in a conference without USC, Oregon or Washington.
The Pac-12 would be significantly weakened at that point, having just UCLA, Cal, Stanford, Oregon State, Washington State, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and Arizona State.
The regents better not test the Big Ten about whether or not this is a threat; the Big Ten is expanding, and plenty of schools would love to be a part of the conference if UCLA is blocked from going.
Source: https://larrybrownsports.com/college-football/big-ten-big-backup-plan-ucla-blocked/607596.
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*http://uclafacultyassociation.blogspot.com/2022/11/the-big-ten-rumor-mill-continues-to-spin.html.
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https://ia601402.us.archive.org/25/items/big-ten/carrot%20stick.mp3
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