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Thursday, October 21, 2010

What the Latest PPIC Poll Tells Us

The Public Policy Institute of California has released its latest poll data. Jerry Brown seems to be pulling ahead of Meg Whitman. The poll covers the period including the last debate and "whore-gate." (If you don't know what that is, it apparently doesn't matter to voters so forget it.)

As far as UC goes, Whitman favors defined contribution pensions for new hires of public employees, but it appears the Regents will select a defined benefit option. Would she insist on DC for UC? As noted in earlier posts, regardless of who wins, there could be a ballot initiative mandating DC. It ain't over 'til it's over.

The PPIC poll also covers ballot issues. If you believed legalizing and taxing marijuana would solve the state's budget problem (you would be wrong about that), it doesn't look like Prop 19 is going to pass. (So you can continue blissfully to believe it without contradiction.) If you thought suspending upcoming business tax breaks would help the state budget (Prop 24), it doesn't look like that will happen, either. And if you think UC would be helped by a majority vote (rather than a 2/3 supermajority) on state budgets (but not on taxes), Prop 25 looks like a "maybe."

Full poll available at http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_1010MBS.pdf

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