Friday, June 13, 2014

UCLA History: Forecast

In 1969, on the 50th anniversary of UCLA, a celebratory book, UCLA on the Move, was published.  Yours truly did not get to the UCLA Anderson Forecast conference yesterday - which was focused on real estate - due to a medical appointment.*  However, the 1969 book contains this photo and caption about the Forecast and its founder, Prof. Robert Williams.

According to the accompanying text, the Forecast was said to be 3-5% accurate, although it did not specify the percent of what.  Back in those days, the Forecast did not rely on computerized forecasting models - which were just beginning to appear - as the mechanical typewriter in the background suggests.  Rather, it was developed as a kind of consensus of participating faculty.


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